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Pulse #6 · 2026-10-13

Which stores opened checkout to AI agents this week, and why did fewer payers send more money?

Shoppers in the US can now buy from Newegg without leaving Google's AI Mode or the Gemini app. TikTok said it is building one-click buying and a shopping agent, and x402 payments on Solana can now be batched into a single settlement. Our own readout: the sellers we track took in 17.7% more than the week before, from fewer payments and far fewer payers. This issue covers 2026-10-05 to 2026-10-11.

What agents did this week

Every figure below is recorded in this issue's claims ledger and can be recomputed with the published score-v1.0.0 method. Our nightly sync stopped for a week after a scheduling fault (see the note at the end of this section); the missed days were synced before this week was computed, and every day in it is fully covered.

Scope. These numbers cover USDC received on Base by the 2,0886 seller addresses in our catalog, which is built from the x402 Bazaar. They are not "the x402 market." "Verified" means a payment of at least $0.01 that is not a self-transfer and not from a sender flagged as an exchange or a fan-out. It is not the seller-level "verified tier."

Verified volume

$249,962.351

prior week $212,326.692 · up 17.7%

Verified payments

172,0671

prior week 177,1802 · down 2.9%

Distinct senders

2,5141

prior week 3,6972 · down 32.0%

First-time earners

991

prior week 1032

Every number in this section is verified on-chain — you can recompute it.

More dollars, fewer payments, fewer payers. The sellers we track received $249,962.351 , up from $212,326.692 , across 172,0671 verified payments. The average payment rose from $1.202 to $1.451 ; the median stayed at $0.021 . 6851 sellers were paid, against 7542 , and 2,5141 distinct addresses paid them, against 3,6972 .

One seller lost two-thirds of its payers. AX1 Console, the two-cent token-verdict tool from last week's issue, received 81,8043 payments ( $1,636.083 ) from 4523 senders, against 96,5103 payments from 1,3583 senders the week before. It still received nearly half of all payments. (A sender can pay several sellers, so sender counts cannot be subtracted the way payment counts can.) Every other seller together received 90,2633 payments, up from 80,6703 .

Dust, shown beside verified. Of 291,3924 transfers to tracked sellers, 105,5434 were dust (36.2%), moving $399.384 together. The week before: 139,8444 dust transfers (42.5%), $431.964 .

Where the dollars went. The same three categories led again: search-retrieval ( $183,961.125 ), payments-infrastructure ( $183,344.225 ) and storage-state ( $170,503.405 ). Inference fell from $48,558.145 to $27,283.425 . Sellers whose listings have left the catalog received $19,456.215 between them. A seller listed in several categories counts in each, so category totals add up to more than the week's total.

The catalog shrank for the first time. After roughly doubling in two weeks, the x402 Bazaar peaked at 35,1627 items in our 2026-10-07 snapshot and fell to 32,0447 by 2026-10-11. It is also less concentrated: in our 2026-10-13 snapshot the ten largest payment addresses hold 48.1%7 of listings, against 59.8% a week earlier.

How people used agents this week

Instinct users got shopping lists they had not asked for

report

Three early users of Instinct, a personal AI agent, told Business Insider that it sent them product lists built from things they had mentioned in earlier conversations. One user said: "I didn't ask for anything." Business Insider wrote that the lists "were not labeled as ads", and that it could not tell whether Instinct earns money from the purchases. Instinct did not comment.

who · date Thibault Spirlet, Business Insider · 2026-10-05

source Business Insider's article

caveat Three users' accounts, as reported. We have not verified them.

changes our ledgers? No.

Shoppers described what happened when they let agents buy for them

test

source Business Insider's article (Alex Bitter); The Daily episode (its transcript is machine-generated, so we paraphrase rather than quote it)

caveat Personal accounts, as reported. Neither outlet ran a controlled test.

changes our ledgers? No.

What numbers were published this week?

report

Two surveys were published with dates in this week. Neither counts purchases completed by agents.

American Express: what merchants and shoppers expect. In a survey of 502 US business leaders, "62% of Merchants expect AI agents shopping on behalf of customers to have a moderate or significant impact on their business". In a companion survey of 2,005 US online shoppers, 52% were comfortable letting an agent buy low-cost everyday items, and "just 15% say they would feel comfortable" with an agent buying high-value items.

who · date American Express, surveys run by Teneo (August 2026) · 2026-10-06

source the release, as published on Nasdaq (Amex's own page renders its text with JavaScript)

what it counts Stated expectations and comfort, not behavior. Amex says the figures are rounded.

Shopify: plans for the holiday season. Shopify says "65% of shoppers say they'll use AI for at least one shopping task this season", and "Only one-third of shoppers say they trusted an AI agent to buy on their behalf."

who · date Shopify, survey of 18,000 shoppers in nine countries by Sapio Research (July 2026) · 2026-10-06

source Shopify's announcement

what it counts Survey answers about intentions and past trust, not purchases.

The big moves

Newegg's checkout went live inside Google's AI Mode and Gemini

move

Shoppers in the US can now buy eligible Newegg products without leaving AI Mode in Google Search or the Gemini app, paying with Google Pay. The checkout runs on the Universal Commerce Protocol (UCP). The release says "Newegg is the merchant of record for every order" and that it is "live now for shoppers in the United States".

who Newegg; Google (Ashish Gupta, VP/GM of Merchant Shopping, is quoted)

date 2026-10-08

source the Business Wire release; its copy on Yahoo Finance (where we checked the quotes)

counts vs dollars No order counts or sales were published.

changes our ledgers? No. It is consistent with the "live" status already recorded for Google's UCP checkout.

TikTok said it is building one-click buying and a shopping agent

move

TikTok announced Buy Direct, for buying from a brand "with just one click" from the For You feed, and Shopping Assistant, an agent that answers questions about a product and can complete the purchase in the chat. Its wording: "TikTok is building new Agentic Commerce shopping experiences". It named Salesforce, Shopify, Shoplazza and Stripe as partners, and gave no launch date or markets.

who · date TikTok · 2026-10-05

source TikTok's newsroom post; TechCrunch's report

caveat TikTok says "building"; TechCrunch's headline says it is rolling out. We print TikTok's word.

changes our ledgers? Pending verification. Candidate /economy entry, as announced.

Constructor added Stripe checkout inside the shopping agents it runs for retailers

move

Constructor makes search and shopping agents that retailers put on their own sites. It added Agentic Checkout, so a shopper can pay with Stripe's Link or another method without leaving the agent's chat. Constructor calls itself "the first to offer Stripe-powered checkout directly within an onsite shopping agent".

who · date Constructor; Stripe · 2026-10-05

source Constructor's release

counts vs dollars Constructor says the number of companies using its agents "increased 900%" over the past year, with no base number. No retailers or order counts were named. "First" is the company's own claim.

changes our ledgers? No.

x402 payments on Solana can now be batched: many payments, one settlement

move

Solana's account announced: "Batch payments are live for @x402 on Solana via @PayAINetwork and @BlockRunAI". An agent opens a USDC payment channel, pays as many times as it needs, and settles once on-chain. The use named is paying for many AI model calls with a single transaction.

who · date Solana; PayAI Network; BlockRunAI · 2026-10-07

source Solana's post on X (date from the post's ID; about 117,000 views, read 2026-10-13)

why it matters to our numbers Our readout covers x402 payments in USDC on Base, not Solana. Batched payments also settle less often than they are made, so on-chain counts would undercount the payments behind them.

changes our ledgers? No.

Meta, Sierra and partners announced a standard for how personal agents deal with businesses

move

The Personal Agent Protocol "defines how personal agents interact with businesses": an agent starts as a guest, then signs in for the user with read-only or write access, and works through the business's website, its APIs or its own agent. Named partners include Shopify, Stripe and Walmart. The authors "plan to publish the v0.1 specification later this month". Payments are described as a possible later extension.

who · date Sierra (Bret Taylor and Clay Bavor) with Meta · 2026-10-06

source Sierra's announcement; CNBC's report

caveat Announced, with no published specification yet.

changes our ledgers? No.

Briefly

Each item below is one sentence, dated and sourced. Our ledger flag is "No" for all three.

Trading agents this week

eToro connected investment accounts to Claude, ChatGPT and Grok, with approval on every action

move

eToro released connectors that let an AI assistant read a user's eToro account, or, where offered, act on it. In eToro's words, "Any action is proposed for review and approval", and deposits and withdrawals stay inside eToro. The connectors are "not currently available to clients in the US, Australia or Singapore".

who · date eToro · 2026-10-08

source eToro's release

counts vs dollars eToro also cites its own survey: 56% of retail investors use or are open to using AI tools to pick or change investments. That is stated openness, not use. No usage figures for the connectors were published.

changes our ledgers? No.

A new "AI bot made a fortune" post offers nothing to check

claim

A post on 2026-10-07 by @SimslearnAi on X, seen about 42,700 times by 2026-10-13, describes a Polymarket bot built with Claude and lists: "$200. 27 days ago. Current balance: $14,300. 271 trades. 74% win rate." It names no account and no wallet. It ends: "Comment “Claude” if you want the framework."

The "$78,083 in 5 days" claim from last week's issue was posted again this week by other accounts, nearly word for word.

Status, if we run the check: No public record offered, unless an account turns up. Polymarket accounts are public, so a named account would make it checkable.

source the 2026-10-07 post (date and view count from X's public data, read 2026-10-13). Accounts that only reposted these claims are not named.

What our data shows: the token-commentary tool still dominates the trading category

our data

Last week we reported that most payments in our trading-execution category went to AX1 Console, a two-cent tool that our category rule files under trading because its description says "not trading advice." It received 81,8043 payments this week, worth $1,636.083 . The whole category fell out of the top eight by dollars: the eighth-largest category took in $4,627.475 , so trading-execution took in less. These are payments for tools, not trading results.

method Categories come from capability-v1, a published text rule. The rule has not changed.

Claims we checked

fact check

One new check was published this week, on 2026-10-07: Did a Brazilian dropout's Claude bot make $794,000 on Polymarket in 14 months? Record does not match.

The claim first appeared on 2026-05-22, posted by the same account as the "fired Citadel quant" claim we checked earlier, with the same referral codes. All six checks are on the fact-check page.

Where are the current numbers?

This issue is a dated document. Its figures are frozen to 2026-10-13 and recorded in its claims ledger. The weekly answers to eight standing questions are at the weekly statistics. The market dashboard, rankings and directory show generation 10, published 2026-10-13. For which of this week's moves changed what agents can buy, see /economy.

  1. This week's verified figures: the Monday-to-Sunday UTC window 2026-10-05 → 2026-10-11, every day coverage-published at 1.0 (all 1,292 tier-A sellers synced past each day's close), Base blocks 52,184,527 → 52,486,926, buyer flags version flags-2026-10-13, computed 2026-10-13T08:26:57Z with the chain observed through block 52,544,868 (2026-10-13T08:11:23Z). Method score-v1.0.0, payment-level predicate. Recompute from /api/v1/stats/weekly and the methodology.
  2. Prior week: 2026-09-28 → 2026-10-04, same method and computation. Pulse #5 printed it as $212,267.97 across 175,953 payments, 723 sellers paid, 3,685 senders and 86 first-time earners. It now reads $212,326.69, 177,180, 754, 3,697 and 103, because sellers synced after Pulse #5 was computed added payments they had received that week. Our weekly records are append-only, so the revision is visible.
  3. AX1 Console is the seller address 0x7284d41b5b852f2bd4c99bdf95043d84452d299c (two x402 Bazaar listings at $0.02, both still listed). Its counts use the same blocks and predicate as fn-1 and fn-2, filtered to that address. The figures for every other seller are the week's totals minus AX1 Console's.
  4. Dust is any transfer under $0.01 (the dust floor). Gross volume including dust and excluded senders was $251,040.86 this week and $214,063.10 the week before. That is a context figure, never labeled verified.
  5. Categories come from capability-v1. A seller listed in several categories counts in each, so this week's category totals sum to $649,789.70 against the $249,962.35 deduplicated total. "Listings have left the catalog" is the group the statistic labels "(no active listing)": 29 sellers paid this week with no active Bazaar listing.
  6. Seller addresses in our catalog when the week was computed (2026-10-13).
  7. Catalog sizes are the item counts of our daily snapshots bazaar-2026-10-07 and bazaar-2026-10-11. The top-ten share comes from snapshot bazaar-2026-10-13 (48.1%) and bazaar-2026-10-06 (59.8%), as published in /api/v1/meta on those days.